MLB 2026 Sabermetrics Analysis

Pace projections · Pythagorean divergence · Japanese player spotlight

📅 As of 2026-06-07

162-Game Pace Projections

Batting — HR
PlayerTeamHRPace
Kyle Schwarber PHI 23 ▶58
Yordan Alvarez HOU 22 ▶54
Munetaka Murakami CWS 20 ▶51
Byron Buxton MIN 18 ▶44
Ben Rice NYY 18 ▶46
Batting — AVG
PlayerTeamAVG
Brandon Marsh PHI 0.335
Otto Lopez MIA 0.333
Yandy Díaz TB 0.326
Jung Hoo Lee SF 0.324
Luis Arraez SF 0.324
Batting — RBI
PlayerTeamRBIPace
Andy Pages LAD 51 ▶129
CJ Abrams WSH 48 ▶120
Yordan Alvarez HOU 48 ▶118
Liam Hicks MIA 47 ▶117
Matt Olson ATL 47 ▶117
Batting — SB
PlayerTeamSBPace
Nasim Nuñez WSH 23 ▶57
José Ramírez CLE 23 ▶57
Bobby Witt Jr. KC 23 ▶57
Oneil Cruz PIT 21 ▶52
Randy Arozarena SEA 18 ▶45
Pitching — ERA
PlayerTeamERA
Cristopher Sánchez PHI 1.46
Jacob Misiorowski MIL 1.65
Cam Schlittler NYY 1.89
Chase Burns CIN 2.05
Chris Sale ATL 2.23
Pitching — W
PlayerTeamWPace
Aaron Ashby MIL 9 ▶24
Gavin Williams CLE 9 ▶22
Davis Martin CWS 8 ▶20
Chris Sale ATL 8 ▶20
Spencer Arrighetti HOU 7 ▶17
Pitching — SO
PlayerTeamSOPace
Jacob Misiorowski MIL 108 ▶287
Cristopher Sánchez PHI 103 ▶261
Gavin Williams CLE 94 ▶234
Dylan Cease TOR 92 ▶229
Reid Detmers LAA 88 ▶223
Pitching — SV
PlayerTeamSVPace
Cade Smith CLE 21 ▶52
Mason Miller SD 17 ▶44
Bryan Baker TB 16 ▶42
Riley O'Brien STL 16 ▶42
Jhoan Duran PHI 15 ▶38

Pace = current value ÷ games played × 162. AVG and ERA are not projected. See glossary for more.

Team Spotlight

Philadelphia Phillies — Multi-Category Leaders

PHI currently leads 3 statistical categories, showing dominance across both offense and pitching.

HR #1AVG #1ERA #1

Japanese Players in MLB Rankings

Run Differential Top 5 vs. Pythagorean Win%

LAD
+134 Pyth .721
ATL
+115 Pyth .680
NYY
+91 Pyth .649
MIL
+91 Pyth .654
PIT
+31 Pyth .545

Pythagorean Win% = RS^1.83 / (RS^1.83 + RA^1.83). Full divergence table: Pythagorean analysis →